- Global population has been growing exponentially over time.
- Especially in developing countries, population is still growing rapidly.
- In the last 70 years, the global population has tripled.
- It is one of the biggest threats to our species as a whole as we might reach a point where it is physically impossible for the world to sustain everyone
Population
- Population refers to the people living in a particular area. These areas can be municipalities, countries, continents or the whole world.
- The world's population is currently over 8 billion people.
- We can't exactly keep track of this value as there are a lot of unregulated areas.
- For example slums or countries that share incorrect values or keep them confidential affect the accuracy of estimates.
- Although the pace of population growth has slowed, world population is still rapidly increasing.
- Population growth is slowing and even decreasing in many developed countries and undeveloped countries.
- In most undeveloped countries however population is still increasing, even if the population growth rate is slowing down.
- Population has been increasing over time with improvements in agriculture, hygiene, healthcare, infrastructure, etc.
- These all increase life expectancy and decrease child mortality, making more of the children born survive.
Birth Rate
- The amount of live births per 1000 people in a country per year.
- Usually expressed as a permille.
- For a given period divided by the length of the period in years.
Death Rate
- The amount of deaths per 1000 people in a country per year.
- Typically expressed in units of deaths per 1,000 individuals per year.
Fertility Rate
- The amount of children born to a woman over her lifetime.
- Decimal number that generally ranges from 1 to 3.
- It can rarely reach over 3 in some countries.
Life Expectancy
- The average lifespan of all the people in a country.
- Average estimated time from birth to death.
- Statistical estimate of years a person can expect to live.
Trends in Population Growth
Natural Population Growth
- Natural population growth depends on birth rate and death rate.
- As long as there are more births than deaths, then population growth will be positive.
- In some countries, for example Finland, population slowly decreases, this is usually due to the lack of births.
- However, this can be counteracted with immigration.
Actual Population Growth
- Actual population growth includes the natural population growth of a country or other region, as well as migration into and out of that region.
Reducing Population Growth
- Healthcare and hygiene improvements lead to less deaths, which consequently reduces the birth rate as fewer births suffice to have children.
- Less child mortality leads to lower fertility rate.
- Health and hygiene improvements also lead to longer life expectancies.
- Improved education and opportunities also motivate people to study or work, giving them less time to raise kids.
Population Over Time
- Generally a birth rate of 2.1 is required to keep a stable population.
- Over time life expectancy has been increasing, while birth rate has been decreasing, most notably in developed countries.
- In developed countries the population is thus ageing.
- This leads to a big problem as there are more retired people who require pension but less people to work and provide that pension.
- There is more pressure put on healthcare systems.
- In developing countries population growth is rapid.
- Lack of health care, education, educated people and resources.
Demographics
- A region's demographic structure refers to the number of people of different ages and sexes in the total population.
- The demographic structure is represented by a population pyramid.
- It is a diagram that shows the size of the population in relation to its gender and age groups.
- At the bottom of the pyramid are the youngest age groups, whereas the oldest age groups are found at the top.
- Men usually form the left side of the pyramid, whereas women are found on the right side.
- In developed countries the population pyramid looks more vertical, this is due to the high proportion of elderly compared to youth and middle-aged people.
- In less developed countries the population pyramid looks very triangular.
- Knowing the age structure is useful for the development of regions and countries.
- It can be used to plan for the organization of age-related services, such as nurseries, schools, care for the elderly, health care and the payment of pensions.
Challenges
- Continued population growth poses a variety of challenges.
- Economic, social and political problems and opportunities will occur.
- The world's growing population will increase the demand for food, water and diminishing natural resources.
- Scarcity of resources in rapidly growing countries can lead to population displacement, famine or even war.
- There will also be an increasing demand for living space, which will either lead to more destruction of the environment or changing out city layouts.
- On the other hand, the working-age population and the number of consumers are increasing, both of which will boost economic activity.
- Rapid population growth poses some of the greatest challenges and risks to human development in the world.
- To solve these, we require an understanding of what causes population growth and how it can be limited.